Published Articles — Research Center Progresif
- Forecasting Through a Structural Break: Provincial Revenue Targets Under Fiscal Reform
- Parallel Progress Without Catch-Up: Human Development Convergence Across Central Java
- Revenue or Regulation? Designing Subnational Fiscal Instruments for Aggregate Extraction
- Algorithmic Government in a Decentralised State: Capacity, Accountability and the Procurement Gap
- Cascading Performance Indicators in Local Government: The Unexamined Act of Decomposition
- Separated Authority: Licensing, Taxation and Unlicensed Mineral Extraction in Decentralised Government
- Reporting Without Accountability: Legislative Scrutiny of Executive Reports in Indonesia
- Integrating Land and Sea: Marine Spatial Planning in Indonesian Provincial Plans
- Governing a Sinking City: Land Subsidence and Tidal Flooding in Semarang
- Sediment Budgets as a Licensing Input for Sustainable River Sand Extraction
- Processing the Energy Transition: Emissions, Land and Governance in Indonesian Nickel Downstreaming
- Functional Cities, Administrative Boundaries: Metropolitan Infrastructure and the Cost of Fragmentation
- Statistically Invisible: Regional Development Banks and Ownership-Based Disclosure
- Subsidised Credit at Scale: Targeting and Concentration in Indonesia's KUR Programme
- Carbon Border Adjustment and Emerging-Economy Exporters: Exposure, Measurement Capability and Firm Response
- Does Digital Tax Administration Lighten the Load? Compliance Costs and Micro Enterprises
- Multiple Owners, Divided Purposes: Governance and Performance of Regionally Owned Enterprises
- Paying for Disasters Before They Happen: Risk Financing and the Subnational Fiscal Gap
- Insuring Without Financing: Provider Payment and the Fiscal Design of National Health Insurance
- Collection Before Combustion: Waste Composition, Energy Recovery and the Sequencing of Waste Infrastructure
- Delivered but Not Billed: Water Loss, Intermittency and the Sequencing of Utility Reform
- The Only Asset Left: Forest Cover and Fiscal Pressure in Highland Districts
- Data Before Concrete: Measurement Capacity as an Infrastructure Precondition
- Human Cause or Natural Variation: Attribution as a Precondition for Environmental Regulation
- Compliance as a Fixed Cost: Administrative Burden and the Smallest Firms
- Selection Before Treatment: Identifying Programme Effects on Firms
- A Right Without a Remedy: Entitlement and Enforcement in Indonesia's Local Tax Surcharge
- Absorption Without Succession: Revoking a Coastal Zoning Instrument in Indonesian Spatial Law
- Equalization Without Security: Vehicle Tax Reassignment Across 35 Indonesian Local Jurisdictions
- Allocation Without Need: Distributing a Special Autonomy Transfer Across Districts
- Schooling Without Absorption: Education Attainment and Youth Unemployment in a Transfer Economy
- Equal at Seven, Unequal at Nineteen: How Provincial Dispersion in School Participation Widens with Age
- Two Provinces of Thirty-Eight: When a Correlation Is an Artefact of Its Outliers
- Thirty-One Points Between Primary and Upper Secondary: The Shape of the Indonesian Completion Gap
- Four Villages with a Primary School for Every Secondary One: Indonesian Educational Supply Geography
- Supply Predicts Finishing Better than It Predicts Starting: School Provision and Educational Outcomes
- Nobody's Arrears: The Collection Incentive Problem in a Tax Split Between Two Governments
- Autonomy That Does Not Reach the Tax Base: Aceh and a General Fiscal Statute
- Budgeting a Revenue Never Received: First-Year Estimates of a Surcharge Across 508 Jurisdictions
- Concentration in Local Tax Portfolios: A Sign Reversal and What It Reveals About Unit Selection
- Who Speaks for the Region: Information Supply and the Making of Subnational Law
- The Unobserved Middle: Absorption and the Identification of Transfer Effects
- What a Rising Indicator Concealed: Road Condition and Delivery Under Fiscal Contraction
- Concentration Risk in a Public Revenue Portfolio: What a Legislated Reassignment Reveals
- Capability Does Not Travel: Why Proficiency at Collecting One Revenue Stream Does Not Transfer
- An Evenly Distributed Base on an Unevenly Distributed Market: Revenue Geography Under a Surcharge
- Ten Missing Districts: Completeness as a Property of National Fiscal Statistics
- When the Residual Is the Largest Item: Own-Source Revenue Composition Across 507 Jurisdictions
- A Gap That Structure Does Not Predict: The Revenue–Expenditure Balance Across 508 Jurisdictions
- Where the Investment Went: Operating Expenditure Across 482 District Budgets, 2017 to 2024
- Breadth Without Balance: Five Crops and One That Matters in Indonesian Provincial Plantations
- The Districts That Vanished: Administrative Reorganisation and the Silent Unbalancing of a National Panel
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